The wrong calculation of Israel, which rises through terror

Israel's terror attack targeting the commander of Hamas's Qassam Brigades, and the ensuing attacks targeting the whole of Gaza, show Israel, which had seemed to be lying in ambush in the region for quite some time, returning to the stage in a manner befitting it. Of course, it would not befit Israel to support the glorious revolutionary processes that have been going on in the region for two years and to seek a ground for peace from them. Although some know-it-alls imagine that behind even these processes there are somehow Israel's deep calculations, this delusion cannot explain how this deep mind attributed to Zionism could exist alongside that racist arrogance and spoiled disdain.

It is highly probable that the Netanyahu government is embarking on such an adventure because of the approaching elections. The Israeli mind is this much. The deepest conspiracy attributed to it works only up to here. Its material means and its capacity for mischief and wickedness show that it will never sit idle, but this spoiledness and arrogance, avarice and fear make even the deepest mind shallow.

The death of three of its citizens as a result of Hamas's retaliation against the terror attack it launched on Gaza may upset all the calculations made. The Israeli people are, unfortunately, extremely insensitive to what goes on around them. Even if hundreds of thousands of people around them die because of their own state's unjust and aggressive attitudes, they do not care. Since the only thing they care about is their own lives, they are ready to withdraw their support from the government even if this adventure Netanyahu has embarked on costs only a few Israeli citizens their lives. That is why Hamas's counterattacks seem to have already upset all the calculations. This aggression may bring Netanyahu no return at all.

If it involves no risk, if it will not turn around and cost the lives of their own citizens, they do not even care about their own state's murders. How was such an insensitive people created in the middle of the Middle East? Truly, it is astonishing.

However, one must not think that Israel's latest aggression is only about the elections. Israel has had to watch in silence the Arab awakening process, which has resulted in the successive collapse of the regimes that until yesterday played the role of "bought allies" around Israel. Yet it was clear that Israel was in no way pleased with the revolutions taking place around it.

How could it be pleased? Its embassy in Egypt became one of the first centers targeted right after the revolution. Signs began to be seen that the Camp David process had come to its end. None of the governments that came to office in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya showed that they would continue relations with Israel as before. Despite this, no direct opposition by Israel to the revolutionary process has been seen so far, but it was also clear that it did not greet these new governments in a friendly manner.

Perhaps it largely missed the opportunities in the others, but Israel still has the idea that something can be done particularly in Syria. But what it does also needs to be productive and effective for itself. It has calculated very well that direct help to Assad would sink him further, yet on the one hand it spares no effort to keep Assad standing. Here, the longer Assad's life is extended, the weaker becomes the possibility of establishing a unified government in Syria and thus preserving the country's integrity. Israel's calculation regarding Syria is not a unified Syrian state but a Syria shattered to pieces, each piece at odds with the other. What Assad does by continuing to resist serves this aim in one respect too.

Israel's attack on Gaza this time will have opened, in its own mind, a way of intervening in the Arab Spring from one side. There is in fact no guarantee that this path will take it to a better place, but Israel finds it hard to remain indifferent any longer to what is going on around it. With blood flowing in Syria for 20 months, one should not expect Israel to wait with complete resignation for the administration that will come to office after Assad, which has now become inevitable and imminent. Israel has never spared its help to Assad anyway, but now it knows that more urgent help is needed for him and seeks a way of delivering this help by creating an atmosphere of chaos. There is also no guarantee that the chaos that will arise will not trigger exactly the opposite development and that it will not itself take the real big blow in this way. But that is how Israel's mind works anyway, and this mind, going after the rice, loses the bulgur in hand.

Having seen an unexpected reaction from Turkey in the last Gaza attack and lost its biggest ally in the region, Israel now seems, this time, about to lose Egypt completely. In fact, with this aggression, Israel was providing Turkey with a great field of opportunity to throw the Israeli burden off its back. Turkey was thereby freed of the Israeli burden and relieved. This time Israel offers the same field of opportunity to Egypt. Egypt, which does not have the luxury of reviewing the Camp David order out of the blue, can easily do so on the occasion of this event, and this could be yet another new and giant step on Egypt's path to liberation.